It was a 1-1 kind of week for us with our picks for Bets Of The Week as the Philadelphia Phillies comeback on Tuesday thwarted our Los Angeles Dodgers pick, but some of us our Philly fans here at NJ Betting so it’s a win-win. And we did cash with the New York Mets-Minnesota Twins over on Wednesday. This week we look ahead to UFC 240.
Let’s look to this week’s action, along with the best wagering values within the top online NJ sports betting sites:
1. UFC 240 Betting
Max Holloway vs Frankie Edgar
- Odds at DraftKings: Holloway -400 VS Edgar +290
- Date: Saturday, July 27 @ 10PM ET
UFC 240 is on top for this Saturday and we’ve got a loaded card with a couple of major bouts. One of the headline acts will be the Max Holloway-Frankie Edgar showdown where Holloway is a huge favorite.
Holloway comes into this bout off a loss to Dustin Poirer. He was – and still is – the current Featherweight Champion but was looking to claim the UFC Lightweight Championship as well. He’s been mostly untouchable as a featherweight as his last loss in the division was to Conor McGregor back in 2013.
Edgar enters off a win after beating Cub Swanson in April but it’s been a tough couple of years for Edgar. He’s had trouble against the elite fighters in the division and while his heart is unquestionable, so is the fact that he’s 8-5 in his last 13 bouts. The Swanson win bumped him up to 3-2 since the start of 2016.
NJ Betting Breakdown:
- One of the main differences in this bout will be age as Edgar is 10 years older than the champ. That could prove to be significant.
- Edgar has the edge in wrestling in this bout but Holloway is tough to take down and keep down. I don’t see him finding a way to the ground in this one, which makes it tough for Edgar to win.
- I expect this bout to be a bit closer than the oddsmakers suggest but I like Holloway to claim the win in the end.
NJ Betting Pick: Holloway via unanimous decision @ -400
2. MLB Betting
Cleveland Indians @ Toronto Blue Jays
- Odds at PointsBet:
- Date: Tuesday, July 22 @ 7:07 PM ET
The Indians and Jays are two teams that are heading in opposite directions. The Jays have been among the worst teams in baseball all season long. However, while the Indians were also quite a disappointment to start the year, they’ve since turned things around.
NJ Betting Breakdown:
- The Indians are 26-10 in their last 36 games, which makes them among the best teams in baseball in that span.
- The Indians will put Trevor Bauer on the mound in this game and they’ve won seven of his last eight starts.
- Meanwhile, the Jays will counter with Aaron Sanchez and they’ve lost 11 straight times that he’s pitched.
- The Jays tend to give Sanchez little support as they are scoring 3.3 runs per game in his last 11 starts.
The Indians are the better team here with more momentum and the better pitcher on the mound. We’ll be facing a big moneyline here but I’ll lay the run-line to knock down some of the juice.
NJ Betting Pick: Cleveland Indians @ -1.5
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
- Over/Under Odds: 8.5 Runs @ -110
- Date: Tuesday, July 22 @ 7:10 PM ET
The Phillies visit the Tigers on Tuesday for a quick two-game, interleague set. Aaron Nola will be on the bump for the Phillies and I’ll be looking at the over in this contest.
Nola’s home and away splits are quite startlingly different. While he has a better record away (5-1) than at home (3-1), his ERA is just over two runs higher in road games at 5.08. His WHIP on the road is 1.38 compared 1.29 at home. A big issue has been home runs as he’s given up 10 in 44.1 innings pitched on the road compared to eight home runs in 77.1 innings at home.
NJ Betting Breakdown:
- Phillies SS Jean Segura (heel soreness) left Sunday’s game and is day-to-day.
- Tigers CF JaCoby Jones went 5-for-13 with a double and a home run in the last three games.
- Philadelphia RF Bryce Harper doubled in five of the last seven contests.
- In eight road starts this season, the average combined score in Nola’s starts has been 11.5 runs.
As for Nola’s counterpart, Matthew Boyd, he’s been decent for the Tigers this season up until the last month. He’s allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last six outings. That happened just once in his first 14 starts. Bet the over.
NJ Betting Pick: Over 8.5 Total Runs
Other Things To Watch This Week
CFL Week 7 – If you’re craving some football action, don’t worry, the NFL’s preseason is just a couple of weeks away. In the meantime, you can dive into some CFL action as the Canadian league has moved into Week 7. The story of the week is the Toronto Argos, who are still winless after five weeks of action. They’ve lost by an average 22.6 points per game and find themselves as a double-digit road dog for a second straight week.
NASCAR Gander RV 400 Pocono – The NASCAR series makes a turn for Pennsylvania this week as the drivers head to the Tricky Triangle at Pocono Raceway. Kyle Busch won the first race of the year at Pocono and has three wins at this track in his last five starts. Kevin Harvick won last week, finally collecting his first win of the year, and has four Top 5’s in his last four starts at Pocono.
WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational – After Shane Lowry captured the final golf major of the year at The Open last week, the PGA Tour now returns to this side of the pond to Memphis, Tennessee. Justin Thomas is the defending champion at TPC Southwind and he’ll be in the star-studded field along with World No. 1 Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson and FedEx points leader Matt Kuchar.
See you same time next week when we start off the week with our Monday Morning Bets!
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