Julius Randle’s New York Knicks (37-27) enter their game on March 3, 2023 as a 3-point favorite against Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat (33-30). The game’s over/under is set at 214.5.
The Knicks are coming off of a 142-118 victory over the Nets in their most recent outing on Wednesday. Jalen Brunson’s team-leading 39 points led New York in the win.
The Heat head into this game on the heels of a 119-96 loss to the 76ers on Wednesday. Bam Adebayo’s team-high 20 points paced Miami in the losing effort.
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Knicks Vs. Heat Odds, Betting Line, Matchup Info
- When: Friday, March 3, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
- TV: BSSUN and MSG
- Spread Favorite: Knicks -3
- Moneyline Favorite: Knicks -151
- Moneyline Underdog: Heat +126
- Over/Under: 214.5 points
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Knicks Betting Trends
- The Knicks are 36-27-1 ATS this season.
- New York has covered the spread 13 times this season (13-8 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- The Knicks have won in 20, or 64.5%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This year, New York has won 15 of 20 games when listed as at least -151 or better on the moneyline.
- The Knicks and their opponents have combined to hit the over 34 out of 64 times this season.
- New York and its opponents have gone over 214.5 combined points in 46 of 64 games this season.
- The average total in Knicks contests this year is 227.1, 12.6 more than this matchup’s over/under.
Knicks Top Performers
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 64 | 25.0 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.8 |
| Jalen Brunson | 60 | 23.8 | 3.6 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.9 |
| RJ Barrett | 57 | 19.5 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 63 | 12.9 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Quentin Grimes | 53 | 10.1 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.9 |
Knicks Season Stats
- New York averages 115.1 points per game (12th in the league) while giving up 112.0 per contest (seventh in the NBA). It has a +201 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 3.1 points per game.
- The Knicks rank third in the NBA at 47.0 rebounds per game. That’s 4.1 more than the 42.9 their opponents average.
- Offensively the Knicks have played better when playing at home this season, putting up 116.5 points per game, compared to 113.6 per game when playing on the road.
- New York is allowing 112.2 points per game in home games. When playing on the road, it is allowing 111.8.
- Over their past 20 games, the Knicks are scoring 117.4 points per game, 2.3 more than their season average (115.1).
- While New York is surrendering 112.0 points per game in 2022-23, it has been worse in its past 20 games, allowing 114.0 points per contest.
- The Knicks are making 13.3 three-pointers per game with a 37.8% three-point percentage over their previous 20 games, compared to their season averages of 12.3 and 35.1%.
Knicks Recent And Upcoming Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/15 | Hawks | W 122-101 | Away | +4 |
| 2/24 | Wizards | W 115-109 | Away | +1 |
| 2/25 | Pelicans | W 128-106 | Home | -4 |
| 2/27 | Celtics | W 109-94 | Home | +2 |
| 3/1 | Nets | W 142-118 | Home | -7.5 |
| 3/3 | Heat | – | Away | -3 |
| 3/5 | Celtics | – | Away | – |
| 3/7 | Hornets | – | Home | – |
| 3/9 | Kings | – | Away | – |
| 3/11 | Clippers | – | Away | – |
| 3/12 | Lakers | – | Away | – |
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Heat Betting Trends
- Miami has put together a 23-38-2 ATS record so far this season.
- The Heat have covered the spread seven times this season (7-7 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- Miami has entered the game as underdogs 18 times this season and won five, or 27.8%, of those games.
- The Heat have a record of 5-8, a 38.5% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +126 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- So far this year, 27 out of Miami’s 63 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
- The Heat have played 38 games this season that have had more than 214.5 combined points scored.
- Miami has a 216.4-point average over/under in its contests this season, 1.9 more points than this game’s total.
Heat Top Performers
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 48 | 21.8 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 58 | 21.2 | 9.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Herro | 49 | 20.3 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3.0 |
| Max Strus | 61 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Kyle Lowry | 44 | 12.0 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.0 |
Heat Season Stats
- Miami is the worst squad in the NBA in points scored (107.8 per game) but second-best in points conceded (108.6).
- The Heat are 26th in the league at 41.2 rebounds per game. That’s 1.2 fewer than the 42.4 their opponents average.
- At home Miami is scoring 108.2 points per game, 0.8 more than it is averaging away (107.4).
- At home the Heat are allowing 107.6 points per game, 2.0 fewer points than they are on the road (109.6).
- Miami has been racking up 105.7 points per game in its last 20 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 107.8 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.
- The Heat’s points-allowed average over their last 20 games (108.2) is 0.4 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (108.6).
- Over its last 20 contests, Miami is making 1.5 fewer three-pointers per game than its season long average (10.1 compared to 11.6 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (31.7% compared to 33.2% season-long).
Heat Recent And Upcoming Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/15 | Nets | L 116-105 | Away | +2 |
| 2/24 | Bucks | L 128-99 | Away | +6 |
| 2/25 | Hornets | L 108-103 | Away | -6.5 |
| 2/27 | 76ers | W 101-99 | Away | +5.5 |
| 3/1 | 76ers | L 119-96 | Home | -4 |
| 3/3 | Knicks | – | Home | +3 |
| 3/4 | Hawks | – | Home | – |
| 3/6 | Hawks | – | Home | – |
| 3/8 | Cavaliers | – | Home | – |
| 3/10 | Cavaliers | – | Home | – |
| 3/11 | Magic | – | Away | – |
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