North Carolina Futures: Odds to Win the College Basketball National Championship

Posted on January 27, 2023

Bookmakers list the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11) as a potential contender to take home the 2022-23 College Basketball National Championship (+6000 odds, 24th-best in college basketball). They next hit the court at home against the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday, March 4 at 6:30 PM ET.

The Tar Heels’ odds to win the ACC tournament are +25000.

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North Carolina Futures: Odds to Win the National Championship

Odds NCAA Rank Payout
+6000 24th Bet $100 to win $6000
  • While our computer ranking puts the Tar Heels 39th in college basketball in terms of winning the national championship, the team’s national championship odds rank comes in significantly better, ranking them 24th-best.
  • Before the season, North Carolina had +900 odds to win the national championship. Those odds have since worsened to +6000, which is the 53rd-biggest change among all teams in Division I.
  • The Tar Heels, based on their current odds (+6000), have a 1.6% chance of winning the national championship.

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North Carolina NCAA Tournament Resume

  • On February 25, the Tar Heels registered their best win of the season, a 71-63 victory over the Virginia Cavaliers, who rank No. 13 in the AP’s Top 25.
  • North Carolina owns one win in seven games against Top 25 teams this season.
  • Based on the RPI, the Tar Heels have seven losses against Quadrant 1 opponents, tied for the 44th-most in Division 1.
  • When facing Quadrant 2 opponents (based on the RPI), North Carolina is 7-3 (.700%) — tied for the fifth-most victories.
  • According to the RPI, the Tar Heels have eight wins versus Quadrant 3 opponents, tied for the 18th-most in the country.
  • In terms of difficulty, based on our predictions, the Heels are facing the 39th-ranked schedule this year.
  • UNC has no games left versus teams with worse records, and one game against squads with above .500 records.

Top North Carolina Performers

  • Armando Bacot: 16.5 PTS, 10.8 REB, 55.3 FG%
  • RJ Davis: 15.8 PTS, 1.1 STL, 42.7 FG%, 33.5 3PT% (52-for-155)
  • Caleb Love: 16.9 PTS, 38.4 FG%, 30.9 3PT% (68-for-220)
  • Leaky Black: 7.4 PTS, 1.3 STL, 43.5 FG%, 33.8 3PT% (25-for-74)
  • Pete Nance: 10.3 PTS, 42.1 FG%, 32.6 3PT% (31-for-95)

North Carolina’s Upcoming Schedule

Date Opponent H/A Time (ET)
Sat, Mar 4 Duke H 6:30 PM

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