We are nearing the start of the NFL regular season and the action is heating up across the NJ sportsbooks. While the Eagles are not getting much respect on the team futures, there are some interesting options for players’ stats.
The NFL markets have really developed since sports betting spread to other states in 2018. Football season draws the highest-handle months of the calendar. New Jersey could crack a billion in one month, and possibly multiple, before the season’s end.
Here are some of the highlighted players and their season prop totals at the major books. This will be interesting to see what stats get accumulated in the league’s first 17-game regular season.
The second-year QB is all but certain to start behind center when the Eagles go to Atlanta in Week 1. We have only seen two series out of Hurts in the preseason. However, pending the amount of the desired salt, what we’ve heard out of camp is positive.
While big throws make highlights on social media and the local news, the talk among veteran players and teammates is that he has become a leader and earned respect. I have yet to see a Jemele Hill report to contradict this hype so I’m leaning towards uniform support.
Here are the season totals and award prices for the Crimson Tide product entering his first full season as a starter. Total prices not displayed are -110, and some bets may be voided if the team doesn’t play 17 games:
|Passing Yds Total||3600.5||N/A||3700.5 (EV/-125||3750.5 (-112/-112||N/A||N/A|
|Passing TDs total||20.5 (-125/EV||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|INTs total||N/A||N/A||N/A||N/A||12.5 (-138/EV||N/A|
|Rushing Yds Total||650.5||N/A||700.5 (+107/-134||625.5 (-112/-112||N/A||N/A|
|Rushing TDs total||7.5 (+105/-130||N/A||6.5 (-134/+108||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|#1 Passing Yards||+15000||+10000||+12500||+13000||+20000||+12500|
|#1 Passing TDs||+8000||+8000||+10000||+5000||+10000||N/A|
|Most INTs Thrown||+1000||N/A||+1400||+1200||+900||N/A|
Hopefully some more prices come in as we draw closer to September 12th. Hurts is not priced on some futures markets that feature QBs who won’t start.
Even with a 17-game season, these yardage totals are daunting. To cover the FanDuel total, he would need to average 226 yards a game. Hurts accumulated 1,061 yards last season with less than five full games of action.
Hurts will face the weakest strength of schedule in the NFL this season. Much of his success will likely depend on how well the offensive line plays in front of him.
The most bright light in an otherwise dismal season last year was Sanders. Despite the issues with fumbles, he brings talent to the backfield with some elite speed and ability to cut. Yes, we love the burrowing Boston Scott but this could be the year Sanders becomes a premier back in this league.
Here are the prices for Sanders this season. Total prices not displayed are -110, and some bets may be voided if the team doesn’t play 17 games:
|Rush Yds Total||N/A||970.5||1000.5 (-112/-112||1000.5 (-112/-112||1075.5||N/A|
|Rush TDs Total||N/A||6.5||6.5 (EV/-124||N/A||N/A||N/A|
|#1 Rush Yds||+5000||+6000||+2500||+7000||+5000||N/A|
|#1 Rush TDs||+5000||+4000||+5000||+5000||+3300||N/A|
Of the totals, the rushing yards will be the greater challenge. Sanders accumulated 864 yards on the ground last year in just 12 games. Should he stay healthy, the same average would bring him over 1,200 yards for the season. Of course, he would have to stay healthy and continue to get almost 14 carries a game. After six rushing TDs last year, he will likely get similar opportunities in scoring scenarios. In terms of fantasy production, Sanders needs to go back towards his catch rate in 2019, which was 79.4 percent before dropping to 53.8 percent last season. Might help if Hurts can actually do better with short passes than Carson Wentz last year.
This was the big catch in the draft. The Eagles played the Giants like a fiddle in leapfrogging back up to 10 to get the Heisman winner. Expectations are fairly high for the rookie reunited with his former college QB.
Here are some of the prop bets available for Smith. Total prices not displayed are -110, and some bets may be voided if the team doesn’t play 17 games:
|Rec Yds Total||N/A||N/A||800.5 (-112/-112||800.5 (-112/-112||N/A|
|Rec TDs Total||N/A||N/A||10.5 (-143/+115||N/A||5.5 (+110/-150|
|#1 Rec Yds||+15000||+15000||+10000||N/A||+8000|
|#1 Rec TDs||+10000||+8000||+6500||N/A||+6000|
Smith may be the biggest beneficiary of the expansion to 17 games. He has played 15 game seasons at Alabama. The yardage total requires an average of over 47 yards per game. If he can establish himself as a #1 target, that should be easy. It’ll be interesting if more outlets make prices on touchdown because that market variance is significant and gives players a chance to make some money.