Pascal Siakam’s Toronto Raptors (37-38) enter their game on March 28, 2023 as a 4-point favorite against Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (40-35). The matchup features an over/under of 220.
In their last time out, the Raptors won on Sunday 114-104 over the Wizards. OG Anunoby scored a team-leading 29 points for Toronto in the victory.
The Heat’s last outing was a 129-100 loss to the Nets on Saturday. Tyler Herro scored a team-leading 23 points for Miami in the loss.
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Raptors Vs. Heat Odds, Betting Line, Matchup Info
- When: Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
- TV: TNT and TSN
- Spread Favorite: Raptors -4
- Moneyline Favorite: Raptors -173
- Moneyline Underdog: Heat +145
- Over/Under: 220 points
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Raptors Betting Trends
- The Raptors are 38-36-1 ATS this season.
- When playing as at least 4-point favorites this season, Toronto has an ATS record of 15-16.
- The Raptors have come away with 27 wins in the 45 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
- This year, Toronto has won 19 of 29 games when listed as at least -173 or better on the moneyline.
- In the Raptors’ 75 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 39 times.
- Toronto and its opponents have combined to score more than 220 points in 48 of 75 games this season.
- The average total in Raptors outings this year is 224.9, 4.9 more than this matchup’s over/under.
Raptors Top Performers
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 65 | 24.2 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Fred VanVleet | 63 | 19.8 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 3.1 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 63 | 17.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| OG Anunoby | 61 | 16.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| Scottie Barnes | 70 | 15.5 | 6.8 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Raptors Season Stats
- Toronto averages 113.0 points per game (21st in the league) while allowing 111.9 per contest (fifth in the NBA). It has a +81 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 1.1 points per game.
- The 43.1 rebounds per game the Raptors average rank 17th in the NBA. Their opponents collect 42.3 per outing.
- In home games, the Raptors are averaging 3.0 more points per game (114.4) than they are on the road (111.4).
- Toronto is giving up 110.3 points per game this season in home games, which is 3.3 fewer points than it is allowing on the road (113.6).
- Over their past 20 games, the Raptors are tallying 112.9 points per game, compared to their season average of 113.0.
- Toronto is allowing 110.5 points per game in its previous 20 games, which is 1.4 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (111.9).
- Over their last 20 games, the Raptors are making 10.8 threes per game, 0.1 fewer threes than their season average (10.9). They own a higher three-point percentage over their past 20 contests (35.0%) compared to their season average (33.9%).
Raptors Recent And Upcoming Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/18 | Timberwolves | W 122-107 | Home | -9.5 |
| 3/19 | Bucks | L 118-111 | Away | +7 |
| 3/22 | Pacers | L 118-114 | Home | -9 |
| 3/24 | Pistons | W 118-97 | Home | -13 |
| 3/26 | Wizards | W 114-104 | Home | -9.5 |
| 3/28 | Heat | – | Home | -4 |
| 3/31 | 76ers | – | Away | – |
| 4/2 | Hornets | – | Away | – |
| 4/4 | Hornets | – | Away | – |
| 4/5 | Celtics | – | Away | – |
| 4/7 | Celtics | – | Away | – |
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Heat Betting Trends
- Miami is 28-45-2 ATS this season.
- The Heat have covered the spread seven times this season (7-6 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
- Miami has entered the game as underdogs 19 times this season and won five, or 26.3%, of those games.
- The Heat are 3-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +145 or more on the moneyline.
- In Miami’s 75 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 35 times.
- The Heat have combined with their opponents to score more than 220 points in 34 of 75 games this season.
- The average total for Miami’s games this season is 219.1 points, 0.9 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Heat Top Performers
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 60 | 22.8 | 6.0 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Bam Adebayo | 70 | 20.9 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Herro | 61 | 20.3 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3.0 |
| Max Strus | 73 | 11.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Kyle Lowry | 50 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 |
Heat Season Stats
- Miami is the worst squad in the league in points scored (109.1 per game) but second-best in points conceded (109.9).
- The 40.7 rebounds per game the Heat accumulate rank 27th in the NBA, 1.3 fewer than the 42.0 their opponents grab.
- In 2022-23 Miami is averaging 3.2 more points per game at home (110.7) than on the road (107.5).
- At home, the Heat concede 109.9 points per game. Away, they give up the same number.
- On offense, Miami has increased its production slightly over its last 20 games, scoring 110.6 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 109.1 it has put up over the course of this season.
- The Heat’s points-allowed average over their last 20 games (114.0) is 4.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (109.9).
- Miami’s past 20 outings have seen them make 11.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 35.9% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from its 2022-23 averages of 11.7 makes and 34.1%.
Heat Recent And Upcoming Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/15 | Grizzlies | W 138-119 | Home | -4 |
| 3/18 | Bulls | L 113-99 | Away | -2.5 |
| 3/19 | Pistons | W 112-100 | Away | -10 |
| 3/22 | Knicks | W 127-120 | Home | -2.5 |
| 3/25 | Nets | L 129-100 | Home | -6 |
| 3/28 | Raptors | – | Away | +4 |
| 3/29 | Knicks | – | Away | – |
| 4/1 | Mavericks | – | Home | – |
| 4/4 | Pistons | – | Away | – |
| 4/6 | 76ers | – | Away | – |
| 4/7 | Wizards | – | Away | – |
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