UFC 260: Heavyweight Rematch Competitive, Compelling

Posted on March 26, 2021

There’s nothing better than a divided opinion on UFC 260 betting odds to move the betting needle.

UFC 260 presents a perfect contrast for New Jersey online sports bettors regarding heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic’s rematch against Francis Ngannou, whom he decisioned in 2018.

DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook have Saturday’s rematch from Las Vegas as its second most competitive since the circuit returned last May 9. The fight is bettable from both sides and each fighter has a legitimate path to victory.

Furthermore, these are two popular heavyweights.

Here’s the card: UFC betting odds updated – September 17, 2021

MAIN CARD 10 p.m. ESPN

DraftKings UFC odds

  • Francis Ngannou -130 vs Stipe Miocic, +110 heavyweight title bout
  • Vicente Luque -265 vs Tyron Woodley +210
  • Sean O’Malley -335 vs Thomas Almeida +250
  • Khama Worthy -152 vs Jamie Mullarkey +125
  • Miranda Maverick -175 vs Gillian Robertson +138

PRELIM CARD 8 p.m. ESPN

FanDuel Odds

  • Alonzo Menifield -290 vs Fabio Cherant +225
  • Michal Oleksiejczuk -168 vs Modestas  Bukauskas +136
  • Omar Morales -194 vs Shane Young +156
  • Abubakar Nurmagomedov -250 vs Jared Gooden +198

*bouts and bout order subject to change.

Wagering Observations

First Order of Business. Get the boosts and freebies.

DraftKings added a boost; Ngannou, O’Malley and Luque to win have gone up from +240 to +275. If Miocic-Ngannou ends in round 1, that’s been boosted from +150 to +180.

PointsBet has been routinely boosting Miocic betting odds 20-30 basis points over the real line. When he was +120, they had an odds boost to +150. When the line became +100, he went to +120 on the boost. If you like him, keep an eye on that boost. It will at least eliminate the vig.

Maximum bet $50.

FanDuel Parlay Insurance

  • It provides a rebate for the near-miss.
  • Place a 5+ Leg Parlay on UFC 260 (max 1 leg per fight) and if exactly one leg loses, get a refund in site credit (max $25)
  • Each individual leg of the parlay must have odds greater than or equal to -200 (e.g. -175, -110, +140 would qualify)
  • The final price of the parlay wager must be +200 or longer. There is a $25 max site credit refund

Main Event Giants

Ngannou was an eye-opening -175 at the start until the sharps hammered it with a Miocic betting wave.

Ngannou has been the human highlight reel in his last four fights, notching four straight K0/TKO 1 results in less than three minutes combined. He received mystique last May after the 20-second destruction of Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Boxing legend Iron Mike Tyson proclaimed Ngannou a future champ in a high-profile tweet.

That mystique worked its way into this line for the fight’s UFC betting odds.

On the Miocic side, he has the style to beat Ngannou. He prevailed by decision in 2018 and all three of Ngannou’s losses occurred that way.

The public obviously expects something different this time, but what if it’s the same?

FanDuel has a Miocic decision victory at +460. That’s a whopping number for something that’s already happened.

Taking any decision will return +340 under the How Fight Will End section.

Ngannou’s most likely method of victory doesn’t pay that much.  

  • A K0/TK0 pays +100, not much better than taking him on the moneyline.
  • If you like Ngannou to stop Miocic, it’s worth a shot to try and nail the exact round.
  • The payout is +200 for the first, +650 in round 2, +1700 for round 3, +3200 in round 4, and +4500 for the final round.

The payouts are so good that this is worth grouping a couple of rounds together.

It’s a smaller payout but covers a good chunk of time. Regarding methods both are not known for, Miocic is +210 for a K0/TK0 and Ngannou is +1400 for a decision.

Submissions? Rare, but Ngannou has four of them and it would pay +3400.  For Miocic, the rare submission returns +2100.

Key Questions:

Does endurance become a factor for Miocic if Ngannou has to go into the late rounds?

Performance Oddity: Miocic fought the same opponent three times in a row. That was Daniel Cormier. He was stopped by Cormier, notched a K0/TKO victory and then a decision.

If you expected the Alexander Volkanovski-Brian Ortega co-feature for the featherweight title, it was postponed. Volkanovski tested positive for Covid 19 after arriving here, despite observing all protocols.

Luque vs Woodley – Co-Feature Spotlight

Woodley and Luque have been moving in opposite directions. Woodley, a former division champion, has lost three straight, all to ranked fighters. His last was a TKO loss and rib injury to Colby Covington in September.

But he’s been around. Woodley is ranked seventh in the welterweight division.

Luque is ranked 10th and rising.  He is stepping up to his highest level and says he needs a fight like this to reach the top five. If Woodley has become an opponent, this is a great step-up platform for Luque.

If Woodley’s class difference matters, he returns an excellent price.

The Maverick-Robertson fight presents a razzle-dazzle invitation

  • The board indicates an expectation of a Maverick decision, and the +130 at FanDuel is better than the -172 moneyline on her.
  • Robertson to win a decision is +460, so there is a big reward in predicting the method of victory.
  • But both fighters are also skilled in submission finishes. Maverick   enters off of four straight triumphs, including two by submission.
  • Robertson has six submissions in her nine triumphs and has predicted a submission triumph here. At the very least, there is an expectation of both fighters being aggressive.

UFC 260 Betting Odds at FanDuel:

Most of the women’s bouts since the UFC’s return last May have ended in decisions, but the UFC 260 betting odds and prices here are at least a temptation to think outside the box.

Dave Bontempo Avatar
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Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo, a national multi-award-winning writer, and broadcaster, writes extensively on the evolving legalized sports-wagering world. Over the past four decades, he has called fights for all major networks, authored columns for the Associated Press, Atlantic City Press, and iGaming Player. He is in the New Jersey Boxing Hall of Fame, the Atlantic City Boxing Hall of Fame and a Sam Taub Award for broadcast excellence, given by the Boxing Writers Association of America.

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